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新闻 & 事件 消费商业下滑.4 Percent in July 2017 in a Shift from Early 2017 Growth, According to New 澳博官方网站app 研究所 Data

消费商业下滑.4 Percent in July 2017 in a Shift from Early 2017 Growth, According to New 澳博官方网站app 研究所 Data

Consumers under 35 continue to drive growth while consumers over 55 subtract from growth.

 

Today, the 澳博官方网站app 研究所 released its 本地消费商业指数(LCCI) for July 2017, which showed declines in spending in 12 out of 15 cities analyzed. In a departure from five consecutive months of positive year-over-year growth beginning in February 2017, consumer spending across all 15 cities declined by 1.2016年7月至2017年7月期间为4%.

Notably, 休斯顿的支出下降了2%.9 percent between July 2016 and July 2017, the biggest decline among the large LCC cities. New York City registered its first negative year-over-year growth rate in 2017, 支出下降了1%. 丹佛, San Francisco and Portland were the only three cities to register positive year-over-year growth rates in July 2017.

Data visualization of the changes in local consumer spending growth over the last 24 months can be found online.

This LCCI report provides a timely view of how the following cities and surrounding metro areas are faring economically, 无论是个人还是整体:亚特兰大, 芝加哥, 哥伦布, Dallas-Ft. Worth, 丹佛, Detroit, Houston, Miami, Los Angeles, New York, Phoenix, Portland (Ore.)、圣地亚哥、旧金山和西雅图. 通过观察实际情况, 去识别金融交易, LCCI提供了一个持续的, 对美国金融健康的动态看法.S. consumer and the vibrancy of the places where 企业 operate.

“在经历了五个月的正增长之后, we see a downward shift across nearly all cities we track,” Diana Farrell, President and CEO, 澳博官方网站app 研究所. “Younger consumers and small 企业 continue to drive growth, while wealthier and older consumers continue to subtract from growth. 值得注意的是,休斯顿获得了2分.支出下降9%, the biggest decline among the large cities between July 2016 and July 2017. We’ll be watching closely to see how Houston’s economy was affected by Hurricane Harvey in our September data.”

Additional key highlights from the latest Index include:

  • 支出 in New York declined by 1 percent between July 2016 and July 2017, the first negative growth in the city in 2017.
  • 休斯顿的支出下降了2%.9 percent between July 2016 and July 2017, the biggest decline among the large cities.
  • Consumer spending in 丹佛 continued to grow at a year-over-year rate of 3.5 percent, cooling off from a year-over-year growth rate of 9.2017年6月注册的占1%.
  • 旧金山的消费增长了1%.2 percent year-over-year in July 2017, the only mid-sized city to register a positive growth rate.
  • Local spending among large cities declined by 1.2017年7月同比增长8%.
  • 35岁以下的消费者贡献了1%.3 percentage points to year-over-year growth in July 2017, with consumers under 25 contributing 0.6 percentage points to growth, and consumers between 25 and 34 contributing 0.7个百分点的增长.
  • 55岁及以上消费者减去1.7 percentage points from growth between July 2016 and July 2017.

The LCCI offers unique advantages over existing measures of consumer spending.

  • LCCI捕获实际的事务, instead of self-reported measures of how consumers think they spend.
  • The LCCI provides timely data on spending in 15 major metropolitan areas; such geographic 粒度 is unavailable in most other spending measures. These 15 cities mirror the geographic and economic 多样性 of larger metropolitan areas in the United States and account for 32 percent of retail sales nationwide.
  • The LCCI also presents a more granular view of local consumer commerce through five important lenses: consumer age, 消费者收入, 业务规模, 产品类型, and consumer residence relative to the location of the business. For each lens, we show how different segments contributed to year-over-year spending growth.
  • The LCCI captures economic activity in sectors that previously have not been well understood by other data sources. These include sectors such as food trucks, new merchants, and personal services.

Each release of the LCCI describes the economic picture of local communities and provides a powerful tool for city development officials, 企业, 投资者, and statistical agencies to better understand the everyday economic health of consumers, 企业, 以及他们关心的地方.

 

The 澳博官方网站app 研究所 is a think tank dedicated to delivering data-rich analyses and expert insights for the public good. Its aim is to help decision makers–policymakers, 企业, 非营利组织的领导者们也很欣赏这种规模, 粒度, 多样性, and interconnectedness of the global economic system and use timely data and thoughtful analysis to make more informed decisions that advance prosperity for all. 借鉴澳博官方网站app & Co.微软独有的专有数据, 专业知识, 市场准入, the 研究所 develops analyses and insights on the inner workings of the global economy, 框架关键问题, and convenes stakeholders and leading thinkers. 更多信息请访问: JP摩根追逐研究所.com.